Democrats Aim to Eliminate Pete King's Congressional Seat for 2012
As you can see from the below story in the New York Post, the Democrats are planning to eliminate the current 3rd CD by merging it into Congressman Greg Meeks district in southwest Queens.
I assure you that no matter what they try, I will fight as hard as I can to keep this seat in Nassau and Suffolk. With your help, I will win.
The New York census: Losing congressional seats
New York Post
By GINGER ADAMS OTIS
October 3, 2010
New York’s about to play political musical chairs, and at least one member of Congress will be left without a seat.
The Empire State stands to lose one or possibly two of its 29 congressional districts when final population tallies from the 2010 US Census are released Dec. 31, according to a bipartisan company that ran its own analysis of current demographics.
In New York, prior redistricting was done with a Democrat-controlled Assembly and a GOP-run Senate. The last time a district was carved up, the power balance between the legislative houses forced a compromise that cost Rep. Benjamin Gilman, the state’s senior Republican in Congress, his lower Hudson Valley seat in 2002.
But unless Republicans regain the majority this fall, the upcoming redistricting will be an all-Dem affair.
“We’re in possibly uncharted territory here,” said Jerry Skurnik, a partner in Prime New York, a political consulting firm.
Democratic control of the Legislature could make GOP Congress members easy targets for redistricting, allowing Dems to erase one or even two Republican-held seats. “One possible spot is in the Buffalo suburbs. Democrats might look to combine a district up there with the vacant seat they lost when Congressman Eric Massa resigned. It would be really easy,” Skurnik said.
If New York loses two seats, the Legislature could also go after the lone Republican downstater — Long Island Rep. Peter King, whose district could be partially absorbed into the heavily Democratic seat held by Congressman Gregory Meeks, Skurnik said.
If Republicans take control of the state Senate (which current polls indicate), it’s more likely a compromise will be struck by redistricting one upstate GOP seat, and one Democratic seat from among New York City’s 14 congressional districts, or surrounding counties like Westchester.
The US Census will release its raw population figures by the end of the year, and by April 2011 it will have population numbers for each census block in the state. Then the negotiating begins.
Lawmakers will divide the statewide population by the number of districts for what’s known as “ideal district size,” said Kimball Brace, president of Election Data Services, a bipartisan consulting firm specializing in reapportionment and redistricting. Federal law requires redrawn districts be contiguous, and all districts must be equally populated.